It is an optimal situation that you can find yourself in when you have placed a pre-match bet and follow the result in live betting.
Recently I found myself again in the pleasant situation of being able to trigger a nice insurance on my dry multiple bet played pre-match. A bubble with three selections with which I enjoyed following the progress of the results during the live betting of the match.
Since this is not the first time this has happened to me and the way the matches were played in this bubble turned out to be the perfect example , I took the opportunity, took some screenshots and created this new little betting guide.
Perhaps “guidance” is a big word, because I think it is probably spontaneous to act to get full coverage, in case you follow the live game.
However, perhaps some less experienced or more “distracted” bettors may miss this wonderful opportunity to be guaranteed to sit in the box with a smile while waiting for the triple whistle, regardless of the final result.
Before the matches I placed a multiple bet with three matches: Perugia-Venice, Wigan-Sheffield United, Leganes-Real Zaragoza.
In the first game with Goal Selection, Perugia versus Venezia in Serie B, which started at 7 p.m., Perugia immediately went up 2-0 and then kept it until minute 94, when Venezia scored the goal I needed to keep my bubble alive. For once, the last-second goal turned the right way.
Once then I had forfeited this first result, shortly after and almost simultaneously, the other two matches began in which I had chosen Sheffield United fixed 2 (also published as a suggestion in the Natural Predictions board) and again Goals between Leganes-Real Zaragoza.
Sheffield led 0-2 but Wigan shortened the gap around minute 65. The Spaniards were already forfeited because by the 33rd minute they had made the score 1-1.
At this point I still had 20 minutes of play ahead of me in Wigan-Sheffield United with as much as 2 to go but we know that anything and everything can happen in soccer in 20 minutes.
I was, however, in the wonderful position of being able to make an insurance policy on the outcome, at the correct time but still in doubt, had blown my bet.
Note that I also already had the new cash-out feature available, but in this situation I could checkmate the bookmaker and handle the contingency myself.
Insurance is of course a term I chose precisely because it is coverage but still has a cost. Because insurance is never, unfortunately, free and of love.
On the face of it, with the score 0-2 with about 20 minutes to go, the odds on the 1X went up to 19. And since my potential winnings would have been 23-something euros with the small multiple bonus included, I preferred to spend a single eurino of insurance on the 1X, rather than give away 3 for cash out.
Now: it is clear that, with these amounts, little has changed except the taste of serenely carrying the bubble to the cashier at the end of the game. These dynamics should be used to understand situations, then the how much is always subjective, so I was dancing around 20 euros but it could have been 200.
An interesting point to note is that, coincidentally, as soon as I played insurance at 19 with my sacrificed eurino, Wigan scored the 1-2 goal and then, all of a sudden, the game opened up again and the 1X odds plummeted to 4. At that point, however, I was already nice and comfortable that I was going to pocket my 20 in any case.
Another favorable detail, to try to find yourself in the right context for doing insurance betting, might be to evaluate the matches to be included in the bet with respect to kickoff time as well.
Certainly it is a “higher” level of difficulty for selection, but the first match is critical in putting the first brick toward generating cash-out or insurance. Thus, placing even more attention on the first one and its timetable will be something I will reflect on more and will certainly be able to bring up again in a future guide devoted specifically to cash-out.
As always, the goal is the same: maximum coverage and abatement of risk even at the cost of leaving a small portion of the winnings in the pot, by every means, technique, feature we can unleash to show up in the till.
We now finally have cash-out functionality available in the Italian betting market as well, so it will be easier to be able to manage bubble dynamics during matches.
In my opinion, however, the moment these perfect conditions are created and we have the opportunity to checkmate the bookmaker, in exchange for a very small part of the potential winnings, it is absolutely worth it. If only for the sake of having, for once, cornered the bookmaker ourselves and not vice versa!
You have to evaluate the numbers: in the case of a 1X odds at 8, for example, I would have been quicker to take the cash-out probably.
For the record, the game still ended on the score of 1-2 and so I took the initial expected win. Remember though, cash-out and “manual” insurance can save so many bubbles that would otherwise end up in the bin.
