Looking for ready bets to play? Find out why it is wrong and very difficult and why you should have your own betting strategy.
Why shouldn’t you copy bets made by others?
Why is copying bets also difficult to apply?
Will you give me a bubble? How many times over the years have I received messages for requests like this.
I know that, to put it simply, you ask for a bubble like this every now and then just to… extemporaneously, probably without much pretension, but I take this great classic to make a much broader point involving betting strategy.
In my case, although the request for bubbles may signify a trust in me and for which I obviously thank you, there are more reasons to avoid going in search of the on-demand, ready-made, ready-to-play bet.
The first reason I want to rule out very quickly and severely is also logical. Who ever would be aware of who knows what secrets and insights that could give such confidence to know the final sign of a match (obtained in good or bad faith) I think would keep it to themselves and not tell the first person who passes by, perhaps on a social.
On the contrary, just for personal boasting, he would have to go against his own interests, draw potential risks on himself and maybe even lower the quota. In short, he would have only to lose, in every sense of the word.
The second reason is equally pragmatic. As I wrote in the Handbook of Natural Predictions book., making a copy and paste of someone else’s (often also completely unknown) bets means, in effect, putting your money in someone else’s hands. And, if you think about it seriously for a moment, that in itself is absurd enough.
On the other hand, those who still hope to win in betting by such means are unfortunately still a long way from achieving an approach that is effective, satisfying and obviously not dependent on anyone.
These kinds of attempts denote a total lack of the fundamental aspect of having a personal betting strategy that is capable of stimulating a winning attitude.
A betting strategy consists of deciding on a set of actions, thoughts, evaluations, parameters, and decisions that lead to having the ability to bet in a certain way, for a certain period of time, and that fits our playing style and available resources.
The factors of a betting strategy are numerous, the following should cover most aspects.
- Overall and per-play budget
- Goals
- Game pattern
- Frequency (amount) of play
- Time frame
- Available time (pre and live)
- Constance
- Psychology (robustness, control, balance, determination, positivity, etc.).
- Other: memory, knowledge, data reading, etc.
It becomes very clear that these are all extremely personal factors.
And as if that were not enough, all of this may also be sensitive to change over time , either by our choice (for example, I want to try betting on another league or other markets) or by the bookmaker’s decision or new regulations coming into effect.
In this regard, just at this time, Italian legislation has formalized the possibility of integrating cashback functionality on bookmaker platforms and increased the payout limits.
However, let us assume that we can also have every week or even every day bets to copy and play, so ready delivery.
I should in practice emulate someone else’s strategy in every respect. Because every aspect is part of a thoughtful calculation.
For example, should my “bet whistler” budget play 20 euros on 10 bubbles in a day, copying and pasting the bubble but with 2 euros would change all the dynamics of potential winnings and loss bearing. The whole castle basically collapses immediately.
The goal cannot be trivially “winning,” it must be clear that there is a close relationship between how much I decide to devote to betting and how much can potentially come back.
With ten euros a week you can aspire to one goal, with 100 to another.
If I wanted to get to the end of the season with, say 500 euros more net and on the first play I would be so good (and lucky probably) to win 500 euros right away, what would you do? Goal achieved and end betting for this season? Um, I don’t think so! You understand how it’s all very personal.
For example, I am interested in increasing every order of percentage: from hedging and fixed odds, to tips but also to the number of types of bets with positive returns.
And the first option you have to be able to accept, without it affecting your personal economic sustainability in any way, is to lose everything.
Between losing everything and always winning, there are numerous nuances that allow you to reach your goal over time, with days when you will lose, win, or make recoveries, whether small or large.
To the pattern or pattern of play I would like to devote a separate content, because it is a broad topic and one that I want to focus on well.
For now, it is sufficient to understand that on one or more days I can implement one or more plays together to try to self-finance the plays, get recoveries even if it turns around wrong, maximize winnings.
It’s a factor that obviously has to do with optimizing bets, perceiving and lowering risk but, let’s say so, not just on the individual bubble, but on a set that, on one side or the other, should be able to get me a net winning percentage or a limited loss, during their repetition over time.
Budget is definitely the parameter to which everyone is most sensitive, but there are others that are very important, and one of them is frequency of play.
Assume, for example, a classic Saturday with the usual numerous matches and plenty of Natural Predictions. How many bets do you make? One, three, twenty?
My own betting strategy is very unlikely to be replicated by the “classic” bettor, partly because of precisely my frequency and volume of bubbles played, which will most likely be more intense and demanding, for more reasons than one.
This is something that I have also repeated often in my videos. I want and need to continuously test with real money, to constantly put the tips, the platform and the whole betting model of Natural Predictions under “stress.”
In addition to the personal goal of getting wins, I try to take new opportunities to take advantage of Natural Predictions. For example, for some time now I have also begun to enjoy single bets, which I have called SingolFix (you can already see some of them on the Instagram profile e Facebook) which represent the final empirical phase of this play.
Let’s be clear, the “new thing” is about how to take advantage of Natural Predictions even for those who prefer one-match betting, before anyone misunderstands! Something I had never particularly explored on the official channels.
To return to the factors of betting strategy, the time frame is another aspect that changes everything. It should be long term or, better yet, very long term.
Only in the long run, let’s say at least after a full season followed well and consistently, can I get relevant indications on the progress of my belting that would allow me to derive further insights, reflections, analysis, with a view to constant improvement to be put into practice during the next one.
Speaking of the time frame, I am reminded of a well-known vignette in which a man digs a tunnel underground and at one point, tired of seeing no results, stops.
And in the vignette we see instead that, just a little further on, he would begin to see the result of his effort.
Similarly, it is again personal in betting the ability and awareness of how far we can go on our journey, despite the fact that results have not yet come.
The time available affects the betting strategy to be used, e.g. if I can bet quietly or always in a hurry, from the comfort of a PC on the couch at home or on the bus from my cell phone, 10 minutes or 2 hours, only pre-match or even live.
The strategy or availability, one of the two, will necessarily have to change or adapt according to the other. Clearly, devoting a minimum of union time to an activity is always recommended, if possible.
And we come to the constancy factor, perhaps one of the most complicated to put inside a betting strategy. Consistency cannot be “bought,” I mean, absurdly, even the budget itself is easier to manage. You either have it or you don’t but an unexpected corporate award can come along, I don’t know, and I can increase the budget.
Constancy is within each of us, you can train it of course, but it is always difficult. You should aspire to be the Chinese drop of your betting, despite everything: time, contingencies, desire, etc..
Without consistency doing realistic testing, studying an aspect of your betting to see whether it is good or bad for you, is impossible because you would get results that are biased and therefore not, or not very, reliable.
Wheel after constancy also triggers all the various psychological components that come into play … during the game.
A win sends you into a total high? Let it go!
Does a leak send you into depression? Let it go!
Do you always go beyond how much you wanted to play? That’s not good!
Do you always see everything as black and complicated? That’s a problem.
Determination, sensitivity, intuition and so on, there are numerous feelings and character traits that, again, are entirely subjective.
And finally, everyone has his or her own background of knowledge about soccer or betting, general and specific, ability to memorize or translate a piece of data, a graph, into a choice. This very article could be a revelation for some and a series of discounting for others.
(In this regard I, when in doubt, write! 🙂
In short, I think it is clear how completely impractical it is to apply to one’s own person the bubbles of others, which are part of a strategy that cannot fit.
And it doesn’t matter if, metaphorically, you think you’re also the same size and therefore anything goes. If you got a suit instead of a wetsuit, you wouldn’t have gotten much benefit.
Compared to those who are looking for pre-made bubbles, at this point, it makes much more sense then to play completely on gut, by feel, by feel, by arm, by chance.
You see how you define it, but in general without any strategy, zero slamming, very little time, if something comes along fine if not patience, and who knows why or for how.
Probably with all this long article I may have even risked putting you off betting properly! What a slog, too many things to do!
Actually, for an enthusiast, this is the order of the day and results in enjoyment. It is never a burden, even if done with a strategy and approach, in fact that is the enjoyment. To study, to understand, to try, to try again. The taste of seeing that what was analyzed occurred, beyond the amount won!
Over the years, I’ve gotten to know so many people who have a betting strategy and have fun with a structured approach.
Whether it’s Natural Predictions or your own model, the important thing is always to have fun. And occasionally, blossom, of course! 😉
I hope this guide can be of help and stimulation to you, also because after the World Cup fuffa we start again intensely with the championships and a second season full of games!
Warm greetings from the Bet Bunker,
Stephen
