The football matchday was shortened due to the international break, with Serie C and Liga Adelante not having been a success. Let’s take a look at the matchday data and what to do.
The title says “negative” but we could have just used the poop emoji, after this round of the championship with only the three Serie C groups and the Spanish Liga Adelanta, due to the national team commitments.
The good news is that Italy won. Tonight we’ll see if we can safely make the playoffs for qualification for the next World Cup.
End of the good news.
There were some teams that did their “duty,” but objectively, there were too many negative results this weekend in football and betting, from our perspective—that is, analyzing the delays in Natural Predictions, but also in terms of goals scored in general. Clearly, there may have been some who reaped the rewards, and we extend our heartfelt congratulations.
Monday’s winning tips on Monday Night games slightly softened our mood. It’s not enough to change the sentiment this round, but a successful bet with the suggested odds certainly helps with Bet Tracking .
I was annoyed by so many home goals that didn’t come, even though they were all at a good price; at least some of them I expected. I never think from the gut, but if I had to think quickly about what has remained as perceived, even not just this weekend, I’d say it seems like a season of two, of away wins.
A quick example? In Serie C Group C, there were seven out of ten wins this round. Not only that, but only one home team scored a goal. That seems a bit excessive to me.
In Liga Adelante, there’s been only one away win, but four 0-0 draws, which is fine and can be expected in that league. However, with the other results, that becomes eight no-goal games.
Winners celebrate, losers explain. I’m not looking for “excuses,” and, aside from a few choices I had doubts about that unfortunately came to pass, I would repeat the same analysis and make virtually the same choices for the suggestions posted on the platform. Why?
The answer is very simple. Aside from the observed anomalies—let’s even assume they never occurred—I’m not affected in the slightest by a
bad day
.
After years and years of analysis and betting, I’ve seen and experienced all kinds of things, and it’s a shame that a single round can even scratch the surface of everything I’ve learned season after season.
If this happens to you, there’s a problem. It takes consistency and the ability to remain firm and steady during a storm. Chaos is fleeting; knowledge is a safe haven.
I’m happy to take on board all the lessons learned from this round, analyze and assimilate them, and keep in mind any similar situations and patterns. But to answer the question: what do you do after a bad day of betting? Absolutely nothing! Meaning: everything remains the same in terms of general guidelines, analysis methods, and data observations.
The lesson to be learned is nothing new: coverage saves your ass, very often. This could be the mistake I’ve identified, and that’s nothing new either.
There was such a desire to have fun despite the limited material (and I must say, rightly so given the good results since the start of the season in Serie C) that we perhaps wanted too much from this day.
For example, during Sunday’s live broadcast, I was the first to suggest a few picks to increase the overall odds of our bet. I clearly remember Potenza’s 1 instead of 1X (final score 0-0, with Potenza missing a penalty midway through the first half).
Or Brescia’s over 2.5 (final score 0-2).
And I remember well that I gave the reason why I wouldn’t have given the 2 to Lecco, which then happened (0-1).
Without dwelling on every outcome, this was my brief reflection on the significance of these cases. So, full steam ahead, without unnecessary doubts, aware that there’s always room to learn and improve, and with the same passion and consistent, serious, and balanced approach as always.
When you have a strategy and, above all, you understand perfectly how volatile football betting is, you know perfectly well that you simply have to stick to your principles. You can of course test and make improvements, but the line should be clear and masterful.
I’ve deliberately placed a negative emphasis on the post-match analysis of this shortened championship round, precisely to take this opportunity to refresh the fundamentals, the need for strategy, and knowing how your betting is performing. All this, however, remains within the scope of entertainment and truly responsible gaming.
To clear the dark sky of negative thoughts, simply zoom out on the tips progress page and notice how the green immediately returns to shine in practically all the championships.
Regarding the delays in Natural Predictions, as I said at the beginning of the article, at least a mention for those who did well. I’m only mentioning Sunday as an example, because we did our live betting slip.
Cittadella won after 6 games, for the first time since their relegation, with difficulty and a goal in the final minutes—what an effort! However, they finally got the NoWin 6.
Between AlbinoLeffe and Lecco, Lecco won and AlbinoLeffe unlocked NoLose5.
Ascoli and Ravenna continue their incredible seasons without conceding a single goal. Now we’ll see who can keep up their winning streak and who will be the first to pay the price for the ongoing delays.
In Serie C Group C, nominated for not having yet scored away from home, Atalanta II won against Crotone 1-2 with a nice NoLose6 home against NoWin6 away at 4.50 and a goal scored at 1.72.
In Spain Lida Adelante, Sporting Gijón printed a NoWin5 at home against Racing Santander (but they also had a NoDraw8).
Málaga scored a nice NoWin5 against league leaders Deportivo La Coruña, who had never lost and met their NoLose8 at 3.40.
We are always very strict and ambitious with all our analyses and
suggestions
that we publish on the platform, but despite a negative weekend, we also saw some valid satisfactions with the delays of Natural Predictions.
Some coverages were missing, even with higher than average odds and which could have predicted the difficulty that then occurred, a handful would have been enough to already change the entire round.
However, we must always remember how much experience, both technical and behavioral, we have acquired, and the small winning bet slip for Monday night games is further proof of this. Calm, clear-headedness, prudence, and confidence, combined with the guidelines for betting with Natural Predictions, bring balance and concrete results, without long waits.
